Free betting calculator

Implied Probability Calculator

Enter odds in American, decimal or fractional format to see the win probability the price implies, so you can compare it with your own estimate.

Odds format

American odds, e.g. +150 or -110

Implied probability

52.38%

The win chance this price implies, vig included

Decimal equivalent
1.909
Implied chance to lose
47.62%

How it works

Every price is a probability in disguise. Implied probability is the share of the total payout your stake represents, which is the win rate you need just to break even at that price.

Sportsbook prices include their margin, so the implied probabilities of every outcome in a market add up to more than 100%. Use the no-vig calculator to strip it out.

American +X: p = 100 / (X + 100)

American −X: p = X / (X + 100)

Decimal D: p = 1 / D

Fraction a/b: p = 1 / (a/b + 1)

Read the guide: How implied probability works

Let the edge come to you

The Smart Lines prices every line against the sharpest market and lists the +EV bets worth taking, updated through the day.

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